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🇩🇪BundesligaMatchday 34

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4:0

5/16 13:30

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(4 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 4 - 0

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanhigh

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

44d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Unibet (FR)	2.50	3.90	2.35
Winamax (FR)	2.50	3.85	2.30
Everygame	2.50	3.75	2.35
888sport	2.50	3.75	2.30
Suprabets	2.51	3.73	2.37
Betclic (FR)	2.55	3.85	2.43
Winamax (DE)	2.55	4.00	2.40
GTbets	2.58	3.91	2.53
William Hill	2.60	3.75	2.38
PMU (FR)	2.60	3.60	2.28
Codere (IT)	2.60	3.85	2.44
Nordic Bet	2.62	3.95	2.42
Betsson	2.62	3.95	2.42
Pinnacle	2.63	3.91	2.42
LeoVegas (SE)	2.63	3.65	2.30
Coolbet	2.65	4.00	2.50
BetOnline.ag	2.65	4.00	2.45
Tipico	2.65	3.80	2.40
Marathon Bet	2.65	3.98	2.48
1xBet	2.69	4.04	2.52
Unibet (SE)	2.75	3.95	2.43
Unibet (NL)	2.75	3.85	2.40
Betfair	2.76	4.00	2.52
Matchbook	2.76	4.00	2.54

Market Implied Probability

1. FC Union Berlin

36.2%

Draw

24.5%

FC Augsburg

39.3%

1. FC Union Berlin Recent Form

Wvs FC Augsburg4-0

Wvs 1. FSV Mainz 053-1

Dvs 1. FC Köln2-2

Lvs RB Leipzig1-3

Lvs VfL Wolfsburg1-2

FC Augsburg Recent Form

Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin0-4

Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Away

Form

Away

1. FC Union Berlin

Home profile

Attack51

Defense49

Form48

Venue32

Draw tendency35

Strengths

Higher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Below-average home goal outputConcedes more than league average in this venue splitLimited home venue reliability

FC Augsburg

Away profile

Attack85

Defense88

Form66

Venue90

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileAbove-average away defensive recordPositive away venue edge

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-2

Home

28%

Draw

22%

Away

51%

Expected goals

1.48 - 2.04

Over 2.5 goals

68%

Both teams score

67%

Goal bands

14% / 40% / 46%

Scoreline candidates

1-2 9%1-1 9%2-2 7%2-1 7%1-3 6%

Market divergence

HomeAI 24%Market 36%-12%

DrawAI 32%Market 24%+8%

AwayAI 43%Market 39%+4%

Intelligence Summary

FC Augsburg has the stronger attacking profile.
FC Augsburg has the cleaner defensive profile.
FC Augsburg carries the better recent form signal.

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