Odds Comparison

54d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Winamax (FR)	3.05	3.80	1.92
Unibet (FR)	3.10	3.70	1.88
Winamax (DE)	3.10	3.90	1.96
Betfair	3.20	4.00	2.08
MyBookie.ag	3.20	3.80	1.98
PMU (FR)	3.30	4.10	1.88
888sport	3.30	3.90	1.95
William Hill	3.30	3.90	1.95
Pinnacle	3.33	4.07	1.98
Nordic Bet	3.40	4.00	2.00
Betsson	3.40	4.00	2.00
LeoVegas (SE)	3.40	4.25	1.94
Marathon Bet	3.44	4.10	2.02
Unibet (NL)	3.45	4.30	1.97
Unibet (SE)	3.45	4.30	1.97
1xBet	3.48	4.16	2.05

Market Implied Probability

Aston Villa FC

28.6%

Draw

23.5%

Liverpool FC

47.9%

Aston Villa FC Recent Form

Wvs Manchester City FC2-1

Wvs Liverpool FC4-2

Dvs Burnley FC2-2

Lvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1-2

Lvs Fulham FC0-1

Liverpool FC Recent Form

Dvs Brentford FC1-1

Lvs Aston Villa FC2-4

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Away

Form

Away

Aston Villa FC

Home profile

Attack84

Defense45

Form55

Venue54

Draw tendency13

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profile

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue splitSmall sample size for this split

Liverpool FC

Away profile

Attack90

Defense55

Form66

Venue54

Draw tendency13

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profile

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue splitSmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 2-1

Home

41%

Draw

21%

Away

38%

Expected goals

2.07 - 1.99

Over 2.5 goals

77%

Both teams score

75%

Goal bands

9% / 34% / 57%

Scoreline candidates

2-1 7%2-2 7%1-1 7%1-2 7%3-1 5%

Intelligence Summary

Liverpool FC has the stronger attacking profile.
Liverpool FC has the cleaner defensive profile.
Liverpool FC carries the better recent form signal.

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