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🇮🇹Serie AMatchday 37

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2:3

5/17 00:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(2 rounds)

Confidence 5/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Away Win

Score: 2 - 3

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Avoid / data thinhigh

Pick policy: Avoid / data thin · Too little separation or too many missing inputs for a confident public pick.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

45d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
PMU (FR)	2.55	3.10	2.60
Winamax (FR)	2.60	3.20	2.55
LeoVegas (SE)	2.60	3.15	2.63
888sport	2.62	3.00	2.62
William Hill	2.62	3.10	2.62
Everygame	2.65	3.05	2.60
Unibet (FR)	2.65	3.10	2.60
Winamax (DE)	2.65	3.25	2.60
Betclic (FR)	2.68	3.22	2.58
Codere (IT)	2.70	3.25	2.70
Tipico	2.70	3.20	2.65
Nordic Bet	2.72	3.20	2.68
Betsson	2.72	3.20	2.68
BetAnything	2.75	3.26	2.75
BetOnline.ag	2.75	3.26	2.75
Unibet (NL)	2.75	3.35	2.75
Unibet (SE)	2.75	3.35	2.75
Coolbet	2.76	3.25	2.76
Marathon Bet	2.77	3.24	2.71
Pinnacle	2.81	3.23	2.73
GTbets	2.82	3.25	2.71
Matchbook	2.82	3.40	2.82
Betfair	2.82	3.40	2.82
1xBet	2.83	3.31	2.77

Market Implied Probability

US Sassuolo Calcio

35.1%

Draw

29.5%

US Lecce

35.4%

US Sassuolo Calcio Recent Form

Lvs Parma Calcio 19130-1

Lvs US Lecce2-3

Lvs Torino FC1-2

Wvs AC Milan2-0

Dvs ACF Fiorentina0-0

US Lecce Recent Form

Wvs Genoa CFC1-0

Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio3-2

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Home

Form

Home

US Sassuolo Calcio

Home profile

Attack83

Defense100

Form58

Venue90

Draw tendency15

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileAbove-average home defensive recordPositive home venue edge

Risks

Small sample size for this split

US Lecce

Away profile

Attack37

Defense60

Form46

Venue51

Draw tendency30

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average away goal outputSmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-0

Home

51%

Draw

28%

Away

21%

Expected goals

1.36 - 0.77

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Both teams score

40%

Goal bands

37% / 46% / 17%

Scoreline candidates

1-0 16%1-1 13%0-0 12%2-0 11%0-1 9%

Market divergence

HomeAI 36%Market 35%+0%

DrawAI 33%Market 30%+4%

AwayAI 31%Market 35%-4%

Intelligence Summary

US Sassuolo Calcio has the stronger attacking profile.
US Sassuolo Calcio has the cleaner defensive profile.
US Sassuolo Calcio carries the better recent form signal.

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