Football Predictor
Public data

AI Football Prediction Quality Report

Public tracking for evaluated prediction samples, hit rate, league cohorts, and model version performance.

Samples

151

Hits

77

Accuracy

51%

Public picks

47.2%

League
LeagueSamplesAccuracyDraw bias
西甲4158.5%-7.3%
意甲3046.7%-13.3%
英超2857.1%-21.4%
德甲2646.2%-19.2%
法甲2245.5%-22.7%
欧冠425%-50%
Model version
Model versionSamplesHitsAccuracy
legacy995252.5%
selective-v3452044.4%
draw-calibrated-v27571.4%
Confidence cohort
Confidence cohortSamplesHitsAccuracy
1-44250%
5-71155749.6%
8-10321856.3%
Pick policy
Pick policySamplesHitsAccuracy
Main pick000%
Solid lean361747.2%
Watch list4250%
Avoid / thin data1115852.3%
Prediction type
Prediction typeSamplesHitsAccuracy
HOME WIN874855.2%
DRAW18738.9%
AWAY WIN462247.8%
Quality notes

主推/稳健预测尚未明显优于全量预测,建议继续收紧主推门槛:提高概率领先差和赔率完整度要求。

意甲 平局预测偏少,建议提高低比分/实力接近场景的平局下限。

DRAW 类型命中率偏低,建议检查该结果类型的概率校准。

Methodology

This report only counts latest-round AI predictions for fixtures that have finished and been verified. Accuracy is not betting advice and does not guarantee future outcomes.

Public Dataset and Methodology

Football Predictor publishes public prediction quality samples, field definitions, methodology notes, and responsible-use documentation for review and citation.

View public GitHub repository