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🇩🇪BundesligaMatchday 33

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1:3

5/10 17:30

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Away Win

Score: 1 - 3

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Data completeness60%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanmedium

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

34d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
PMU (FR)	1.72	3.70	4.40
Nordic Bet	1.72	3.95	4.45
Unibet (FR)	1.72	3.80	4.20
Betsson	1.72	3.95	4.45
Suprabets	1.72	3.78	4.10
Tipico	1.72	4.00	4.50
888sport	1.73	3.75	4.20
Everygame	1.73	3.75	4.10
Betclic (FR)	1.73	3.88	4.30
Winamax (FR)	1.74	3.85	4.00
LeoVegas (SE)	1.74	3.75	4.50
William Hill	1.75	3.80	4.20
Winamax (DE)	1.76	4.00	4.10
Marathon Bet	1.76	4.05	4.60
Pinnacle	1.78	4.04	4.44
BetOnline.ag	1.78	3.98	4.48
1xBet	1.79	4.12	4.67
Codere (IT)	1.79	3.90	4.30
Coolbet	1.80	4.00	4.40
Matchbook	1.80	4.10	4.60
Unibet (NL)	1.80	3.85	4.60
Betfair	1.80	4.10	4.50
Unibet (SE)	1.81	3.90	4.60
GTbets	1.83	3.76	4.42

Market Implied Probability

1. FSV Mainz 05

54.0%

Draw

24.3%

1. FC Union Berlin

21.7%

1. FSV Mainz 05 Recent Form

Wvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18462-0

Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin1-3

Wvs FC St. Pauli 19102-1

Lvs FC Bayern München3-4

Dvs Borussia Mönchengladbach1-1

1. FC Union Berlin Recent Form

Wvs FC Augsburg4-0

Wvs 1. FSV Mainz 053-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Even

Form

Home

1. FSV Mainz 05

Home profile

Attack52

Defense44

Form50

Venue17

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average home goal outputConcedes more than league average in this venue splitLimited home venue reliability

1. FC Union Berlin

Away profile

Attack44

Defense45

Form40

Venue17

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average away goal outputConcedes more than league average in this venue splitRecent results trend is fragile

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 2-1

Home

49%

Draw

21%

Away

30%

Expected goals

2.1 - 1.63

Over 2.5 goals

72%

Both teams score

71%

Goal bands

11% / 38% / 51%

Scoreline candidates

2-1 9%1-1 8%2-2 7%1-2 7%3-1 6%

Market divergence

HomeAI 43%Market 54%-11%

DrawAI 31%Market 24%+7%

AwayAI 26%Market 22%+5%

Intelligence Summary

1. FSV Mainz 05 has the stronger attacking profile.
1. FSV Mainz 05 carries the better recent form signal.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

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