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🇪🇸La LigaMatchday 37

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1:1

5/17 17:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(2 rounds)

Confidence 5/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness92%

Model: selective-v3

Avoid / data thinhigh

Pick policy: Avoid / data thin · Too little separation or too many missing inputs for a confident public pick.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

✓ Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

26d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
PMU (FR)	2.04	3.05	3.50
LeoVegas (SE)	2.07	3.10	3.55
Tipico	2.10	3.20	3.70
Winamax (FR)	2.10	3.00	3.55
Winamax (DE)	2.15	3.05	3.60
Unibet (FR)	2.15	3.10	3.40
Betclic (FR)	2.15	3.18	3.43
Unibet (NL)	2.15	3.25	3.80
Unibet (SE)	2.15	3.25	3.80
Everygame	2.15	2.90	3.60
Betsson	2.18	3.25	3.55
Nordic Bet	2.18	3.25	3.55
Codere (IT)	2.21	3.20	3.50
BetOnline.ag	2.21	3.20	3.70
Pinnacle	2.21	3.02	3.75
William Hill	2.25	3.10	3.25
Matchbook	2.26	3.30	3.75
Betfair	2.26	3.30	3.75
Marathon Bet	2.28	3.16	3.62
Coolbet	2.28	3.15	3.65
1xBet	2.32	3.21	3.67

Market Implied Probability

Athletic Club

43.5%

Draw

30.1%

RC Celta de Vigo

26.4%

Athletic Club Recent Form

Lvs Real Madrid CF2-4

Dvs RC Celta de Vigo1-1

Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0-2

Lvs Valencia CF0-1

Wvs Deportivo Alavés4-2

RC Celta de Vigo Recent Form

Wvs Sevilla FC1-0

Dvs Athletic Club1-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Away

Form

Even

Athletic Club

Home profile

Attack39

Defense53

Form54

Venue41

Draw tendency15

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average home goal outputLimited home venue reliabilitySmall sample size for this split

RC Celta de Vigo

Away profile

Attack48

Defense82

Form57

Venue41

Draw tendency15

Strengths

Above-average away defensive record

Risks

Below-average away goal outputLimited away venue reliabilitySmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

35%

Draw

31%

Away

35%

Expected goals

1 - 1.01

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Both teams score

40%

Goal bands

40% / 45% / 14%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 14%0-1 14%1-0 13%0-0 13%1-2 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 29%Market 44%-14%

DrawAI 35%Market 30%+5%

AwayAI 36%Market 26%+9%

Intelligence Summary

RC Celta de Vigo has the stronger attacking profile.
RC Celta de Vigo has the cleaner defensive profile.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

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