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🇩🇪BundesligaMatchday 5

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10/9 18:30

Away

Featured Match Signal

High-interest teamsModel: proVolatility: medium

AI Prediction Analysis

Confidence 8/10

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Data completeness93%

Model: selective-v3

Main pickhigh

Pick policy: Main pick · Strongest public pick: complete data, market signal, and clear probability edge.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

✓ Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-05-16SV Werder Bremen0 - 2Borussia Dortmund

Odds Comparison

11d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Winamax (FR)	1.29	4.90	5.60
Unibet (FR)	1.29	5.10	6.30
Winamax (DE)	1.30	5.10	5.80
Betclic (FR)	1.33	5.25	6.50
LeoVegas (SE)	1.33	5.20	7.00
PMU (FR)	1.34	5.25	7.00
Suprabets	1.34	5.20	6.60
Tipico	1.35	5.80	7.00
Betfair	1.36	1.13	1.37
888sport	1.36	5.00	7.00
William Hill	1.36	5.00	7.00
Marathon Bet	1.36	5.65	7.70
Nordic Bet	1.36	4.80	8.80
Betsson	1.36	4.75	8.60
Unibet (NL)	1.36	5.60	8.00
Codere (IT)	1.37	5.60	7.00
Pinnacle	1.37	5.45	7.03
Unibet (SE)	1.38	5.75	8.00
Coolbet	1.38	5.75	7.75
1xBet	1.40	5.80	7.90

Market Implied Probability

Borussia Dortmund

67.3%

Draw

18.6%

SV Werder Bremen

14.0%

Borussia Dortmund Recent Form

Wvs SC Paderborn 073-0

Wvs Villarreal CF3-2

Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3-2

SV Werder Bremen Recent Form

Wvs FC Augsburg3-2

Dvs 1. FC Köln1-1

Wvs RB Leipzig3-1

Lvs SC Freiburg1-4

Lvs Borussia Dortmund0-2

Team Intelligence

Low risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Home

Form

Home

Borussia Dortmund

Home profile

Attack74

Defense89

Form95

Venue78

Draw tendency10

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileAbove-average home defensive recordStrong recent form trend

Risks

No major statistical weakness flagged

SV Werder Bremen

Away profile

Attack48

Defense68

Form59

Venue29

Draw tendency28

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average away goal outputLimited away venue reliability

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 2-0

Home

70%

Draw

18%

Away

12%

Expected goals

2.23 - 0.81

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Both teams score

50%

Goal bands

20% / 45% / 36%

Scoreline candidates

2-0 12%1-0 11%2-1 10%3-0 9%1-1 9%

Market divergence

HomeAI 64%Market 67%-3%

DrawAI 22%Market 19%+4%

AwayAI 14%Market 14%0%

Intelligence Summary

Borussia Dortmund has the stronger attacking profile.
Borussia Dortmund has the cleaner defensive profile.
Borussia Dortmund carries the better recent form signal.

AI Prediction Record

Borussia Dortmund6/9 correct (67%)

09-19vs VfB StuttgartHome Win

09-12vs SC Paderborn 07Home Win3-0

09-08vs Villarreal CFHome Win3-2

09-05vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimDraw3-2

08-29vs Hamburger SVHome Win2-0

05-16vs SV Werder BremenAway Win2-0

05-08vs Eintracht FrankfurtHome Win3-2

05-03vs Borussia MönchengladbachAway Win0-1

04-26vs SC FreiburgHome Win4-0

SV Werder Bremen3/8 correct (38%)

09-19vs FC AugsburgAway Win3-2

09-12vs 1. FC KölnHome Win1-1

09-05vs RB LeipzigAway Win3-1

08-30vs SC FreiburgHome Win1-4

05-16vs Borussia DortmundAway Win0-2

05-09vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimHome Win0-1

05-02vs FC AugsburgHome Win1-3

04-26vs VfB StuttgartHome Win1-1

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