Everton FC vs Manchester City FC prediction: Football Predictor rates Manchester City FC win as the current leading outcome. The Premier League win/draw/loss probabilities are Everton FC 15%, draw 20%, Manchester City FC 65%, with model confidence at 8/10 and data completeness at not available.
Key factors
This prediction is informational football analytics only. It is not betting advice, financial advice, or a guarantee of the final match result.
The system starts with recent home/away form, league scoring averages, and a Poisson statistical baseline, then adjusts the win/draw/loss probabilities with standings, head-to-head context, market-implied odds, availability news, and historical calibration.
Score: 3 - 3
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Continue with nearby fixtures and predictions from the same competition.
Liverpool
H
Chelsea
A
Home Win
1.90
Draw
4.00
Away Win
3.75
Fulham
H
Bournemouth
A
Home Win
2.80
Draw
3.70
Away Win
2.42
Sunderland
H
Man United
A
Home Win
3.80
Draw
3.75
Away Win
1.95
Brighton Hove
H
Wolverhampton
A
Home Win
1.28
Draw
5.90
Away Win
10.50
| Bookmaker | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR) | 5.70 | 4.80 | 1.42 |
| 888sport | 5.75 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.80 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.90 | 4.90 | 1.44 |
| Everygame | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.43 |
| GTbets | 6.11 | 4.76 | 1.46 |
| Tipico | 6.20 | 4.80 | 1.45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.25 | 4.70 | 1.43 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.30 | 4.95 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | 6.32 | 4.87 | 1.48 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.40 | 4.80 | 1.46 |
| 1xBet | 6.40 | 5.03 | 1.51 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.50 | 4.90 | 1.40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.60 | 5.15 | 1.45 |
| Nordic Bet | 6.70 | 4.75 | 1.47 |
| Betsson | 6.70 | 4.75 | 1.47 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.75 | 5.10 | 1.43 |
| Coolbet | 6.95 | 5.10 | 1.47 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00 | 5.20 | 1.45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.00 | 5.10 | 1.45 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 5.20 | 1.49 |
Market Implied Probability
Everton FC
15.0%
Draw
19.6%
Manchester City FC
65.4%
AI vs Market Deviation
Model Value Signal
No Positive SignalThe model probability and market odds do not show a clear positive gap right now.
Away
Away
Away
Everton FC
Home profile
Strengths
Risks
Manchester City FC
Away profile
Strengths
Risks
Statistical baseline
Poisson reference model
Home
24%
Draw
25%
Away
52%
1.02 - 1.65
50%
52%
26% / 47% / 28%
Scoreline candidates
Market divergence
Intelligence Summary

