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🇫🇷Ligue 1Matchday 34

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2:1

5/17 19:00

Finished

Away

Featured Match Signal

High-interest teamsModel: proVolatility: medium

AI Prediction Analysis

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 2 - 1

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Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanhigh

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-05-17Paris FC2 - 1Paris Saint-Germain FC

Odds Comparison

26d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Everygame	4.50	4.40	1.53
Suprabets	4.50	4.40	1.53
William Hill	4.60	4.40	1.55
888sport	4.60	4.40	1.53
Winamax (DE)	4.80	4.80	1.54
Winamax (FR)	4.80	4.70	1.52
Pinnacle	4.84	4.62	1.58
Unibet (FR)	4.90	4.50	1.52
Nordic Bet	4.90	4.45	1.60
Betsson	4.90	4.45	1.60
Betclic (FR)	4.95	4.55	1.52
PMU (FR)	5.00	4.50	1.47
Marathon Bet	5.10	4.85	1.59
1xBet	5.18	4.92	1.61
Tipico	5.20	4.60	1.52
GTbets	5.23	4.60	1.53
Coolbet	5.50	4.75	1.56
BetOnline.ag	5.53	4.75	1.56
Betfair	5.60	4.70	1.62
Unibet (NL)	5.75	4.70	1.50
LeoVegas (SE)	5.80	4.80	1.51
Unibet (SE)	5.80	4.80	1.51
Matchbook	5.80	4.70	1.62

Market Implied Probability

Paris FC

18.5%

Draw

20.4%

Paris Saint-Germain FC

61.0%

Paris FC Recent Form

vs Paris Saint-Germain FC

Lvs Stade Rennais FC 19011-2

Wvs Stade Brestois 294-0

Paris Saint-Germain FC Recent Form

Wvs Arsenal FC5-4

Lvs Paris FC1-2

Wvs Racing Club de Lens2-0

Wvs Stade Brestois 291-0

Dvs FC Bayern München1-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Even

Defense

Even

Form

Away

Paris FC

Home profile

Attack87

Defense100

Form67

Venue66

Draw tendency15

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileAbove-average home defensive record

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Paris Saint-Germain FC

Away profile

Attack82

Defense100

Form81

Venue79

Draw tendency27

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileAbove-average away defensive recordStrong recent form trend

Risks

No major statistical weakness flagged

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

33%

Draw

27%

Away

40%

Expected goals

1.18 - 1.34

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Both teams score

51%

Goal bands

28% / 47% / 25%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 13%0-1 11%1-0 10%1-2 9%0-0 8%

Market divergence

HomeAI 22%Market 19%+3%

DrawAI 32%Market 20%+11%

AwayAI 47%Market 61%-14%

Intelligence Summary

Paris Saint-Germain FC carries the better recent form signal.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

AI Prediction Record

Paris FC2/2 correct (100%)

05-03vs Stade Brestois 29Home Win

04-26vs Lille OSCAway Win0-1

Paris Saint-Germain FC3/6 correct (50%)

05-30vs Arsenal FCHome Win5-4

05-13vs Racing Club de LensAway Win2-0

05-06vs FC Bayern MünchenHome Win1-1

05-02vs FC LorientHome Win2-2

04-28vs FC Bayern MünchenAway Win5-4

04-25vs Angers SCOAway Win3-0

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