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🇮🇹Serie AMatchday 36

Home

2:3

5/10 16:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis

Confidence 6/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Away Win

Score: 2 - 3

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness60%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanmedium

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

34d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
William Hill	5.00	3.90	1.57
888sport	5.00	3.90	1.57
Winamax (FR)	5.20	3.95	1.56
Everygame	5.25	4.00	1.53
Nordic Bet	5.40	4.15	1.58
Winamax (DE)	5.40	4.10	1.58
Unibet (FR)	5.40	3.80	1.53
Betsson	5.40	4.15	1.58
Coolbet	5.55	4.15	1.64
BetAnything	5.60	4.20	1.57
Betclic (FR)	5.60	3.90	1.55
Marathon Bet	5.70	4.20	1.60
Pinnacle	5.72	4.27	1.59
BetOnline.ag	5.72	4.31	1.59
Codere (IT)	5.80	4.00	1.60
Tipico	5.80	4.10	1.55
1xBet	5.83	4.29	1.64
GTbets	5.87	3.82	1.68
PMU (FR)	6.00	3.75	1.55
Betfair	6.00	4.10	1.62
LeoVegas (SE)	6.10	3.80	1.56
Matchbook	6.20	4.10	1.62
Unibet (SE)	6.25	3.95	1.62
Unibet (NL)	6.25	3.95	1.62

Market Implied Probability

Parma Calcio 1913

16.8%

Draw

23.5%

AS Roma

59.7%

Parma Calcio 1913 Recent Form

Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio1-0

Lvs Como 19070-1

Lvs AS Roma2-3

Lvs FC Internazionale Milano0-2

Wvs AC Pisa 19091-0

AS Roma Recent Form

Wvs Hellas Verona FC2-0

Wvs SS Lazio2-0

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Even

Form

Away

Parma Calcio 1913

Home profile

Attack55

Defense100

Form61

Venue69

Draw tendency38

Strengths

Above-average home defensive recordPositive home venue edgeHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Small sample size for this split

AS Roma

Away profile

Attack97

Defense100

Form80

Venue90

Draw tendency16

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileAbove-average away defensive recordStrong recent form trend

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 0-1

Home

30%

Draw

31%

Away

39%

Expected goals

0.91 - 1.08

Over 2.5 goals

32%

Both teams score

39%

Goal bands

41% / 45% / 14%

Scoreline candidates

0-1 15%0-0 14%1-1 13%1-0 12%0-2 8%

Market divergence

HomeAI 14%Market 17%-3%

DrawAI 31%Market 24%+8%

AwayAI 55%Market 60%-5%

Intelligence Summary

AS Roma has the stronger attacking profile.
AS Roma carries the better recent form signal.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

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