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🇩🇪BundesligaMatchday 33

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2:1

5/9 13:30

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(2 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 2 - 1

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness60%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanmedium

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

34d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
PMU (FR)	1.27	5.60	9.00
Betclic (FR)	1.28	5.75	8.50
Everygame	1.28	5.25	8.50
Winamax (FR)	1.28	5.70	7.75
Unibet (FR)	1.28	5.60	8.20
Suprabets	1.28	5.30	8.40
Tipico	1.28	6.00	9.50
LeoVegas (SE)	1.29	5.60	9.50
888sport	1.30	5.00	8.50
Winamax (DE)	1.30	6.00	8.00
William Hill	1.30	5.00	8.50
GTbets	1.31	5.51	8.73
Betsson	1.31	5.40	9.80
Nordic Bet	1.31	5.40	9.80
Pinnacle	1.32	5.83	9.30
Marathon Bet	1.32	5.85	9.70
Codere (IT)	1.32	5.80	8.60
BetOnline.ag	1.32	5.88	9.40
Unibet (SE)	1.33	5.80	9.50
Coolbet	1.33	5.75	9.50
Unibet (NL)	1.33	5.80	9.50
1xBet	1.34	5.94	9.85
Betfair	1.35	5.90	9.80
Matchbook	1.35	6.00	10.00

Market Implied Probability

RB Leipzig

72.7%

Draw

16.8%

FC St. Pauli 1910

10.5%

RB Leipzig Recent Form

Lvs SC Freiburg1-4

Wvs FC St. Pauli 19102-1

Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1-4

Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin3-1

Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt3-1

FC St. Pauli 1910 Recent Form

Lvs VfL Wolfsburg1-3

Lvs RB Leipzig1-2

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Home

Form

Home

RB Leipzig

Home profile

Attack74

Defense100

Form80

Venue90

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileAbove-average home defensive recordStrong recent form trend

Risks

Small sample size for this split

FC St. Pauli 1910

Away profile

Attack15

Defense51

Form35

Venue17

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average away goal outputRecent results trend is fragileLimited away venue reliability

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-0

Home

61%

Draw

22%

Away

18%

Expected goals

1.94 - 0.93

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Both teams score

52%

Goal bands

22% / 46% / 32%

Scoreline candidates

1-0 11%2-0 11%1-1 10%2-1 10%3-0 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 53%Market 73%-20%

DrawAI 31%Market 17%+14%

AwayAI 16%Market 11%+6%

Intelligence Summary

RB Leipzig has the stronger attacking profile.
RB Leipzig has the cleaner defensive profile.
RB Leipzig carries the better recent form signal.

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