What is the AI prediction for RCD Mallorca vs Villarreal CF?

Football Predictor rates RCD Mallorca win as the current leading outcome, with probabilities of RCD Mallorca 36%, draw 33%, Villarreal CF 31%.

What data is used for this La Liga prediction?

The model checks recent form, home/away splits, league averages, standings, head-to-head history, odds-market probabilities, availability news, and historical prediction calibration.

Why does the page show data completeness?

Data completeness explains prediction reliability. This match currently has a data score of 60/100 (medium), with public tier Avoid / data thin.

What does the Poisson model add to football prediction?

The Poisson model estimates scoreline distribution, win/draw/loss probabilities, over/under probability, and both-teams-to-score probability from expected goals.

Is the RCD Mallorca vs Villarreal CF prediction betting advice?

No. Football Predictor provides informational football analytics only and does not provide betting advice, financial advice, or guaranteed outcomes.

RCD Mallorca vs Villarreal CF | Football Predictor

Name: Football Predictor football prediction dataset
Creator: Football Predictor
License: https://football.edccc.cn/en/about

Football Predictor

AI Match Prediction Summary

RCD Mallorca vs Villarreal CF prediction: Football Predictor rates RCD Mallorca win as the current leading outcome. The La Liga win/draw/loss probabilities are RCD Mallorca 36%, draw 33%, Villarreal CF 31%, with model confidence at 5/10 and data completeness at 60/100 (medium).

Win/draw/loss probabilities: RCD Mallorca 36%, Draw 33%, Villarreal CF 31%

Model confidence: 5/10

Key factors

马洛卡主场防守极强但样本小维拉利尔整体实力与状态占优双方平局倾向均为36/100模型历史严重低估平局需校正市场赔率显示平局概率高于模型基线Data completeness: 60% (medium)AI model: deepseek-v4-pro (low data confidence, high intelligence risk)数据样本不足Avoid / data thin

This prediction is informational football analytics only. It is not betting advice, financial advice, or a guarantee of the final match result.

Prediction data quality

This section explains which inputs are available for this match. Complete data makes a prediction more suitable for public accuracy tracking, while thin data reduces confidence and moves the match toward the watch list.

Score

60/100

Grade

medium

Public pick tier

Avoid / data thin

Recent formthin

4/4 recent matches

Standingsavailable

Featured Match Signal

Tight probability marginModerate model confidenceModel: proVolatility: high

AI Prediction Analysis(4 rounds)

Confidence 5/10

Wrong

Predicted: Home WinActual: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

RCD Mallorca Home WinDrawVillarreal CF Away Win

36%33%31%

Data completeness60%

Model: selective-v3

Avoid / data thinmedium

Pick policy: Avoid / data thin · Too little separation or too many missing inputs for a confident public pick.

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Prediction History

4 rounds

Round 4Current

05/10, 10:32 AM (4d ago)

RCD Mallorca Home Win

5/10

36%33%31%

Confidence +1

Lead prob -4%

Round 3

05/10, 06:33 AM (4d ago)

RCD Mallorca Home Win

4/10

40%28%32%

Confidence +0

Lead prob +0%

Odds Comparison

8d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Everygame	2.25	3.35	2.85
Winamax (FR)	2.25	3.45	2.75
Unibet (FR)	2.25	3.40	2.85
Tipico	2.30	3.50	2.95
William Hill	2.30	3.40	2.88
Winamax (DE)	2.30	3.55	2.80
Betclic (FR)	2.32	3.45	2.87
Pinnacle	2.38	3.55	3.01
Betsson	2.38	3.45	2.92
Nordic Bet	2.38	3.45	2.92
Codere (IT)	2.38	3.50	2.90
Marathon Bet	2.38	3.60	2.99
BetOnline.ag	2.38	3.55	3.01
PMU (FR)	2.38	3.55	2.65
LeoVegas (SE)	2.40	3.60	2.70
1xBet	2.42	3.66	3.04
Coolbet	2.45	3.45	3.00
Betfair	2.46	3.55	3.05
Matchbook	2.46	3.60	3.05
Unibet (NL)	2.48	3.75	2.80
Unibet (SE)	2.48	3.70	2.80

Market Implied Probability

RCD Mallorca

40.1%

Draw

27.0%

Villarreal CF

32.9%

AI vs Market Deviation

Home Win -4.1%Draw +5.8%Away Win -1.7%

Model Value Signal

Positive Signal

Selection

Draw

Best Odds

3.75 Unibet (NL)

Probability Edge

+5.8%

Expected Value

+22.9%

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Home

Form

Away

RCD Mallorca

Home profile

Attack66

Defense95

Form60

Venue69

Draw tendency36

Strengths

Above-average home defensive recordPositive home venue edgeHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Villarreal CF

Away profile

Attack93

Defense82

Form80

Venue69

Draw tendency36

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileAbove-average away defensive recordStrong recent form trend

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

44%

Draw

26%

Away

31%

Expected goals

1.49 - 1.2

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams score

54%

Goal bands

25% / 47% / 28%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 12%1-0 10%2-1 9%0-1 8%2-0 8%

Market divergence

HomeAI 36%Market 40%-4%

DrawAI 33%Market 27%+6%

AwayAI 31%Market 33%-2%

Intelligence Summary

Villarreal CF has the stronger attacking profile.
RCD Mallorca has the cleaner defensive profile.
Villarreal CF carries the better recent form signal.

RCD Mallorca Recent Form

Lvs Getafe CF1-3

Dvs Villarreal CF1-1

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