Sevilla FC vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona prediction: Football Predictor rates Sevilla FC win as the current leading outcome. The La Liga win/draw/loss probabilities are Sevilla FC 47%, draw 29%, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 24%, with model confidence at 6/10 and data completeness at 60/100 (medium).
Key factors
This prediction is informational football analytics only. It is not betting advice, financial advice, or a guarantee of the final match result.
This section explains which inputs are available for this match. Complete data makes a prediction more suitable for public accuracy tracking, while thin data reduces confidence and moves the match toward the watch list.
Score
60/100
Grade
medium
Public pick tier
Informational
4/4 recent matches
Score: 2 - 1
Data completeness60%
Model: draw-calibrated-v2
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Continue with nearby fixtures and predictions from the same competition.
Levante
H
Osasuna
A
Home Win
2.63
Draw
3.17
Away Win
2.94
Elche
H
Alavés
A
Home Win
2.29
Draw
3.28
Away Win
3.41
Atleti
H
Celta
A
Home Win
2.10
Draw
3.51
Away Win
3.65
Real Sociedad
H
Real Betis
A
Home Win
2.48
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.84
both teams available
40 finished league matches
3 bookmaker lines
no external model signal
no direct history
no relevant availability news
The system starts with recent home/away form, league scoring averages, and a Poisson statistical baseline, then adjusts the win/draw/loss probabilities with standings, head-to-head context, market-implied odds, availability news, and historical calibration.
| Bookmaker | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| Everygame | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03 | 3.33 | 3.60 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Tipico | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
| Betsson | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.78 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.78 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
| Matchbook | 2.10 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11 | 3.45 | 3.74 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.65 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.65 |
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.50 | 3.79 |
| Coolbet | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
Market Implied Probability
Sevilla FC
45.9%
Draw
28.1%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
26.0%
AI vs Market Deviation
Model Value Signal
No Positive SignalThe model probability and market odds do not show a clear positive gap right now.
Home
Home
Home
Sevilla FC
Home profile
Strengths
Risks
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Away profile
Strengths
Risks
Statistical baseline
Poisson reference model
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
16%
1.84 - 0.8
49%
46%
26% / 47% / 27%
Scoreline candidates
Market divergence
Intelligence Summary

