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🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Premier LeagueMatchday 4

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1:2

9/12 14:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(4 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Away Win

Score: 1 - 2

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Data completeness69%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanmedium

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

· Market odds

· External reference

✓ Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-09-12Aston Villa FC1 - 2Nottingham Forest FC

2026-04-12Nottingham Forest FC1 - 1Aston Villa FC

Odds Comparison

No odds data yet

When odds sync succeeds, this area will show home, draw, away odds and market implied probabilities.

Aston Villa FC Recent Form

Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1-2

Wvs Club Brugge KV3-2

Dvs Hull City AFC0-0

Lvs Arsenal FC0-1

Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0-4

Nottingham Forest FC Recent Form

Wvs Aston Villa FC2-1

Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0-0

Team Intelligence

Medium risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Away

Form

Away

Aston Villa FC

Home profile

Attack72

Defense42

Form46

Venue54

Draw tendency14

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profile

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue split

Nottingham Forest FC

Away profile

Attack100

Defense57

Form53

Venue61

Draw tendency26

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profile

Risks

No major statistical weakness flagged

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-2

Home

27%

Draw

19%

Away

55%

Expected goals

1.88 - 2.68

Over 2.5 goals

83%

Both teams score

79%

Goal bands

6% / 28% / 66%

Scoreline candidates

1-2 7%2-2 7%1-3 7%2-3 6%1-1 5%

Intelligence Summary

Nottingham Forest FC has the stronger attacking profile.
Nottingham Forest FC has the cleaner defensive profile.
Nottingham Forest FC carries the better recent form signal.

Lvs Leeds United FC0-1

Dvs AFC Bournemouth1-1

AI Prediction Record

Aston Villa FC2/8 correct (25%)

09-08vs Club Brugge KVHome Win3-2

09-05vs Hull City AFCHome Win0-0

08-31vs Arsenal FCAway Win0-1

08-23vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCHome Win0-4

05-24vs Manchester City FCHome Win2-1

05-10vs Burnley FCAway Win2-2

05-03vs Tottenham Hotspur FCHome Win1-2

04-25vs Fulham FCAway Win0-1

Nottingham Forest FC2/8 correct (25%)

09-05vs Tottenham Hotspur FCDraw0-0

08-29vs Liverpool FCAway Win2-2

08-22vs Leeds United FCHome Win

05-24vs AFC BournemouthDraw1-1

05-17vs Manchester United FCHome Win2-3

05-10vs Newcastle United FCHome Win1-1

05-04vs Chelsea FCHome Win3-1

04-24vs Sunderland AFCHome Win5-0

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