Back to Matches

🇪🇸La LigaMatchday 35

Home

1:1

5/9 12:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(6 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

Full prediction locked

Log in and buy this match prediction or activate a membership to view the final pick, probabilities, key factors and full reasoning.

login_required

Data completeness60%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanmedium

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

34d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Winamax (FR)	2.15	3.20	3.20
Unibet (FR)	2.15	3.20	3.10
PMU (FR)	2.18	3.20	3.30
Winamax (DE)	2.20	3.30	3.25
Tipico	2.20	3.30	3.30
Betclic (FR)	2.20	3.30	3.20
Everygame	2.20	3.15	3.20
LeoVegas (SE)	2.20	3.25	3.30
Coolbet	2.25	3.30	3.50
William Hill	2.25	3.20	3.10
Unibet (NL)	2.25	3.35	3.45
Codere (IT)	2.26	3.35	3.25
Betsson	2.28	3.25	3.25
Unibet (SE)	2.28	3.35	3.45
Nordic Bet	2.28	3.25	3.25
BetOnline.ag	2.29	3.28	3.41
Pinnacle	2.29	3.30	3.41
Marathon Bet	2.30	3.34	3.36
Betfair	2.32	3.55	3.40
Matchbook	2.32	3.55	3.40
1xBet	2.34	3.40	3.42

Market Implied Probability

Elche CF

42.4%

Draw

28.8%

Deportivo Alavés

28.8%

Elche CF Recent Form

Dvs Girona FC1-1

Wvs Getafe CF1-0

Lvs Real Betis Balompié1-2

Dvs Deportivo Alavés1-1

Lvs RC Celta de Vigo1-3

Deportivo Alavés Recent Form

Lvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1-2

Wvs Real Oviedo1-0

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Home

Form

Home

Elche CF

Home profile

Attack70

Defense61

Form71

Venue90

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileStrong recent form trendPositive home venue edge

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Deportivo Alavés

Away profile

Attack82

Defense43

Form50

Venue32

Draw tendency35

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue splitLimited away venue reliabilitySmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 2-1

Home

53%

Draw

21%

Away

26%

Expected goals

2.06 - 1.37

Over 2.5 goals

66%

Both teams score

65%

Goal bands

14% / 41% / 44%

Scoreline candidates

2-1 10%1-1 9%2-0 7%1-0 7%2-2 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 43%Market 42%+0%

DrawAI 29%Market 29%+0%

AwayAI 28%Market 29%-1%

Intelligence Summary

Deportivo Alavés has the stronger attacking profile.
Elche CF has the cleaner defensive profile.
Elche CF carries the better recent form signal.

Related Match Predictions