Odds Comparison

45d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Suprabets	1.30	4.90	8.10
Winamax (FR)	1.30	5.60	8.00
Everygame	1.30	5.00	8.00
Winamax (DE)	1.30	5.70	8.00
Tipico	1.30	5.70	8.00
Unibet (FR)	1.31	5.40	7.80
Betclic (FR)	1.31	5.40	7.75
Pinnacle	1.32	5.32	8.97
PMU (FR)	1.33	4.90	7.50
888sport	1.33	4.80	8.00
Coolbet	1.35	5.50	9.00
William Hill	1.35	4.80	8.00
Nordic Bet	1.35	4.95	8.90
Betsson	1.35	4.95	8.90
BetOnline.ag	1.36	5.40	8.85
Marathon Bet	1.36	5.35	9.10
Betfair	1.36	5.70	9.20
Unibet (NL)	1.36	5.20	8.50
LeoVegas (SE)	1.36	5.30	8.50
Unibet (SE)	1.36	5.30	8.50
Matchbook	1.37	5.70	9.20
1xBet	1.38	5.43	9.25
GTbets	1.39	5.10	7.53

Market Implied Probability

OGC Nice

70.7%

Draw

18.0%

FC Metz

11.3%

OGC Nice Recent Form

Dvs FC Metz0-0

Lvs AJ Auxerre1-2

Dvs Racing Club de Lens1-1

Dvs Olympique de Marseille1-1

Dvs Lille OSC0-0

FC Metz Recent Form

Dvs OGC Nice0-0

Lvs FC Lorient0-4

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Home

Form

Even

OGC Nice

Home profile

Attack41

Defense74

Form37

Venue47

Draw tendency59

Strengths

Above-average home defensive recordHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Below-average home goal outputRecent results trend is fragileSmall sample size for this split

FC Metz

Away profile

Attack73

Defense34

Form32

Venue32

Draw tendency36

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue splitRecent results trend is fragileLimited away venue reliability

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

45%

Draw

22%

Away

33%

Expected goals

1.94 - 1.64

Over 2.5 goals

69%

Both teams score

69%

Goal bands

13% / 39% / 48%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 9%2-1 9%1-2 7%2-2 7%3-1 6%

Intelligence Summary

FC Metz has the stronger attacking profile.
OGC Nice has the cleaner defensive profile.
Draw risk is elevated compared with a typical fixture.

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