Back to Matches

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Premier LeagueMatchday 36

Home

3:0

5/9 16:30

Finished

Away

Featured Match Signal

High-interest teamsModel: proVolatility: medium

AI Prediction Analysis

Confidence 6/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 3 - 0

Full prediction locked

Log in and buy this match prediction or activate a membership to view the final pick, probabilities, key factors and full reasoning.

login_required

Data completeness62%

Model: draw-calibrated-v2

medium

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

✓ Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-05-09Manchester City FC3 - 0Brentford FC

Odds Comparison

35d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Everygame	1.30	5.25	7.00
Winamax (FR)	1.30	5.70	6.75
PMU (FR)	1.30	5.30	8.50
Tipico	1.32	5.80	7.80
Winamax (DE)	1.33	6.00	7.25
LeoVegas (SE)	1.34	5.40	9.00
Betclic (FR)	1.34	5.50	7.00
MyBookie.ag	1.34	5.30	6.80
Unibet (FR)	1.35	5.50	7.00
BetOnline.ag	1.35	5.98	7.95
Coolbet	1.35	5.62	8.35
Pinnacle	1.35	5.90	7.93
Unibet (NL)	1.36	5.60	9.50
GTbets	1.36	5.63	7.28
888sport	1.36	5.00	7.00
William Hill	1.36	5.00	7.00
Unibet (SE)	1.36	5.50	9.00
Matchbook	1.37	6.20	8.60
Betsson	1.37	5.60	7.50
Codere (IT)	1.37	5.60	7.20
Betfair	1.37	6.20	8.60
Nordic Bet	1.37	5.60	7.50
Marathon Bet	1.38	5.80	7.40
1xBet	1.40	5.89	7.50

Market Implied Probability

Manchester City FC

70.6%

Draw

17.0%

Brentford FC

12.4%

Manchester City FC Recent Form

Dvs AFC Bournemouth1-1

Wvs Crystal Palace FC3-0

Brentford FC Recent Form

Dvs Liverpool FC1-1

Dvs Crystal Palace FC2-2

Lvs Manchester City FC0-3

Wvs West Ham United FC3-0

Lvs Manchester United FC1-2

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Home

Form

Home

Manchester City FC

Home profile

Attack79

Defense70

Form82

Venue90

Draw tendency14

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileAbove-average home defensive recordStrong recent form trend

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Brentford FC

Away profile

Attack54

Defense52

Form53

Venue17

Draw tendency14

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue splitLimited away venue reliabilitySmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

53%

Draw

23%

Away

23%

Expected goals

1.79 - 1.1

Over 2.5 goals

55%

Both teams score

56%

Goal bands

22% / 46% / 33%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 11%1-0 10%2-1 10%2-0 9%0-1 6%

Market divergence

HomeAI 53%Market 71%-18%

DrawAI 30%Market 17%+13%

AwayAI 17%Market 12%+5%

Intelligence Summary

Manchester City FC has the stronger attacking profile.
Manchester City FC has the cleaner defensive profile.
Manchester City FC carries the better recent form signal.

AI Prediction Record

Manchester City FC1/4 correct (25%)

05-24vs Aston Villa FCHome Win

05-19vs AFC BournemouthAway Win1-1

05-13vs Crystal Palace FCHome Win3-0

05-04vs Everton FCAway Win3-3

Brentford FC2/4 correct (50%)

05-24vs Liverpool FCHome Win1-1

05-17vs Crystal Palace FCHome Win2-2

05-02vs West Ham United FCHome Win3-0

04-27vs Manchester United FCHome Win1-2

Related Match Predictions