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🇩🇪BundesligaMatchday 34

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4:1

5/16 13:30

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(6 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 4 - 1

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanhigh

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

44d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Unibet (FR)	2.60	4.10	2.20
Winamax (FR)	2.60	4.00	2.20
888sport	2.62	3.80	2.25
William Hill	2.62	3.80	2.25
Suprabets	2.63	3.94	2.19
Winamax (DE)	2.65	4.10	2.25
PMU (FR)	2.65	3.60	2.20
Everygame	2.65	3.90	2.20
GTbets	2.67	3.99	2.39
Coolbet	2.70	4.20	2.35
LeoVegas (SE)	2.70	3.65	2.25
Nordic Bet	2.72	4.15	2.28
Betsson	2.72	4.15	2.28
Betclic (FR)	2.72	4.00	2.27
BetOnline.ag	2.72	4.15	2.35
Pinnacle	2.73	4.11	2.27
Tipico	2.75	4.00	2.30
Codere (IT)	2.75	4.00	2.30
Marathon Bet	2.76	4.20	2.32
1xBet	2.80	4.26	2.36
Unibet (SE)	2.85	3.95	2.35
Unibet (NL)	2.85	3.90	2.33
Matchbook	2.88	4.20	2.38
Betfair	2.88	4.20	2.38

Market Implied Probability

SC Freiburg

34.9%

Draw

23.6%

RB Leipzig

41.5%

SC Freiburg Recent Form

Wvs RB Leipzig4-1

Lvs Hamburger SV2-3

Dvs VfL Wolfsburg1-1

Lvs Borussia Dortmund0-4

Wvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18462-1

RB Leipzig Recent Form

Lvs SC Freiburg1-4

Wvs FC St. Pauli 19102-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Home

Form

Away

SC Freiburg

Home profile

Attack57

Defense79

Form59

Venue69

Draw tendency35

Strengths

Above-average home defensive recordPositive home venue edgeHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Below-average home goal outputSmall sample size for this split

RB Leipzig

Away profile

Attack84

Defense55

Form82

Venue54

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileStrong recent form trend

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue splitSmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

48%

Draw

22%

Away

30%

Expected goals

1.94 - 1.48

Over 2.5 goals

66%

Both teams score

66%

Goal bands

14% / 41% / 44%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 9%2-1 9%1-2 7%2-2 7%1-0 6%

Market divergence

HomeAI 30%Market 35%-5%

DrawAI 29%Market 24%+5%

AwayAI 41%Market 41%0%

Intelligence Summary

RB Leipzig has the stronger attacking profile.
SC Freiburg has the cleaner defensive profile.
RB Leipzig carries the better recent form signal.

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