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🇩🇪BundesligaMatchday 32

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1:2

5/3 13:30

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis

Confidence 6/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Away Win

Score: 1 - 2

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My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-05-03FC St. Pauli 19101 - 21. FSV Mainz 05

Odds Comparison

40d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Suprabets	2.64	3.20	2.51
Unibet (FR)	2.65	3.20	2.55
Everygame	2.65	3.20	2.50
Winamax (FR)	2.65	3.30	2.45
Nordic Bet	2.68	3.35	2.62
Betsson	2.68	3.35	2.62
William Hill	2.70	3.10	2.50
888sport	2.70	3.10	2.50
Winamax (DE)	2.70	3.35	2.50
Pinnacle	2.75	3.39	2.67
Codere (IT)	2.75	3.30	2.60
Tipico	2.75	3.20	2.65
PMU (FR)	2.75	3.10	2.55
Betclic (FR)	2.77	3.30	2.47
Betfair	2.80	3.40	2.80
Marathon Bet	2.80	3.34	2.66
LeoVegas (SE)	2.80	3.15	2.60
Matchbook	2.82	3.40	2.82
GTbets	2.83	3.27	2.56
BetOnline.ag	2.84	3.37	2.59
1xBet	2.85	3.40	2.71
Coolbet	2.85	3.35	2.60
Unibet (NL)	2.88	3.25	2.70
Unibet (SE)	2.88	3.25	2.70

Market Implied Probability

FC St. Pauli 1910

34.5%

Draw

29.0%

1. FSV Mainz 05

36.5%

FC St. Pauli 1910 Recent Form

Lvs VfL Wolfsburg1-3

Lvs RB Leipzig1-2

Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 051-2

Lvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18460-2

Dvs 1. FC Köln1-1

1. FSV Mainz 05 Recent Form

Wvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18462-0

Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin1-3

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Away

Form

Even

FC St. Pauli 1910

Home profile

Attack24

Defense36

Form35

Venue32

Draw tendency35

Strengths

Higher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Below-average home goal outputConcedes more than league average in this venue splitRecent results trend is fragile

1. FSV Mainz 05

Away profile

Attack44

Defense88

Form40

Venue47

Draw tendency57

Strengths

Above-average away defensive recordHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Below-average away goal outputRecent results trend is fragileSmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

26%

Draw

23%

Away

51%

Expected goals

1.28 - 1.87

Over 2.5 goals

61%

Both teams score

61%

Goal bands

18% / 44% / 38%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 10%1-2 10%0-1 8%0-2 8%2-1 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 30%Market 34%-4%

DrawAI 30%Market 29%+1%

AwayAI 40%Market 37%+3%

Intelligence Summary

1. FSV Mainz 05 has the stronger attacking profile.
1. FSV Mainz 05 has the cleaner defensive profile.
Draw risk is elevated compared with a typical fixture.

vs FC St. Pauli 1910

Lvs FC Bayern München3-4

Dvs Borussia Mönchengladbach1-1

AI Prediction Record

FC St. Pauli 19103/3 correct (100%)

05-16vs VfL WolfsburgAway Win1-3

05-09vs RB LeipzigHome Win1-2

04-25vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846Home Win0-2

1. FSV Mainz 051/3 correct (33%)

05-16vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846Home Win2-0

05-10vs 1. FC Union BerlinHome Win1-3

04-25vs FC Bayern München

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