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🇩🇪BundesligaMatchday 33

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1:3

5/10 15:30

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Away Win

Score: 1 - 3

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Data completeness60%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanmedium

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

34d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
PMU (FR)	1.74	3.95	4.00
GTbets	1.76	4.08	3.95
LeoVegas (SE)	1.76	4.00	4.00
Unibet (FR)	1.78	4.00	3.70
Winamax (FR)	1.78	4.10	3.55
Suprabets	1.78	3.94	3.65
Tipico	1.80	4.10	3.90
888sport	1.80	3.80	3.70
Betclic (FR)	1.80	4.05	3.75
Everygame	1.80	3.90	3.65
Unibet (NL)	1.82	4.10	4.20
Winamax (DE)	1.82	4.20	3.70
Unibet (SE)	1.83	4.20	4.20
William Hill	1.83	3.90	3.75
Marathon Bet	1.84	4.15	4.05
Coolbet	1.85	4.20	4.00
Pinnacle	1.85	4.24	3.85
Nordic Bet	1.85	4.15	3.70
Betsson	1.85	4.15	3.70
BetOnline.ag	1.85	4.24	3.85
Codere (IT)	1.86	4.10	3.75
1xBet	1.87	4.21	4.11
Betfair	1.94	4.20	3.85
Matchbook	1.94	4.20	3.90

Market Implied Probability

1. FC Köln

52.1%

Draw

23.2%

1. FC Heidenheim 1846

24.7%

1. FC Köln Recent Form

Lvs FC Bayern München1-5

Lvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461-3

Dvs 1. FC Union Berlin2-2

Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1-2

Dvs FC St. Pauli 19101-1

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Recent Form

Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050-2

Wvs 1. FC Köln3-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Home

Form

Away

1. FC Köln

Home profile

Attack58

Defense56

Form48

Venue54

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Small sample size for this split

1. FC Heidenheim 1846

Away profile

Attack67

Defense44

Form56

Venue32

Draw tendency34

Strengths

Higher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue splitLimited away venue reliabilitySmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 2-1

Home

48%

Draw

21%

Away

31%

Expected goals

2.13 - 1.67

Over 2.5 goals

73%

Both teams score

71%

Goal bands

11% / 37% / 52%

Scoreline candidates

2-1 9%1-1 8%2-2 7%1-2 7%3-1 6%

Market divergence

HomeAI 42%Market 52%-10%

DrawAI 31%Market 23%+7%

AwayAI 27%Market 25%+3%

Intelligence Summary

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 has the stronger attacking profile.
1. FC Köln has the cleaner defensive profile.
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 carries the better recent form signal.

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