Odds Comparison

40d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
PMU (FR)	2.25	3.55	2.88
LeoVegas (SE)	2.28	3.60	2.90
Winamax (FR)	2.30	3.55	2.70
Unibet (FR)	2.30	3.50	2.80
Betclic (FR)	2.30	3.55	2.82
Suprabets	2.34	3.35	2.74
Everygame	2.35	3.35	2.75
Unibet (SE)	2.35	3.70	3.00
Winamax (DE)	2.35	3.65	2.75
Unibet (NL)	2.35	3.70	3.00
Tipico	2.35	3.60	2.85
888sport	2.38	3.40	2.75
William Hill	2.38	3.40	2.75
Codere (IT)	2.40	3.60	2.80
Nordic Bet	2.42	3.55	2.82
Betsson	2.42	3.55	2.82
GTbets	2.43	3.54	2.81
Marathon Bet	2.43	3.64	2.90
Pinnacle	2.43	3.60	2.91
Coolbet	2.45	3.57	2.90
BetOnline.ag	2.45	3.57	2.88
1xBet	2.47	3.69	2.94
Betfair	2.56	3.60	2.94
Matchbook	2.56	3.65	2.94

Market Implied Probability

SC Freiburg

39.9%

Draw

26.7%

VfL Wolfsburg

33.4%

SC Freiburg Recent Form

Wvs RB Leipzig4-1

Lvs Hamburger SV2-3

Dvs VfL Wolfsburg1-1

Lvs Borussia Dortmund0-4

Wvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18462-1

VfL Wolfsburg Recent Form

Wvs FC St. Pauli 19103-1

Lvs FC Bayern München0-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Even

Defense

Away

Form

Home

SC Freiburg

Home profile

Attack69

Defense79

Form70

Venue90

Draw tendency13

Strengths

Above-average home defensive recordStrong recent form trendPositive home venue edge

Risks

Small sample size for this split

VfL Wolfsburg

Away profile

Attack68

Defense86

Form50

Venue90

Draw tendency13

Strengths

Above-average away defensive recordPositive away venue edge

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

43%

Draw

23%

Away

34%

Expected goals

1.72 - 1.49

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams score

64%

Goal bands

17% / 43% / 40%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 10%2-1 9%1-2 8%1-0 7%2-2 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 55%Market 40%+15%

DrawAI 25%Market 27%-2%

AwayAI 20%Market 33%-13%

Intelligence Summary

VfL Wolfsburg has the cleaner defensive profile.
SC Freiburg carries the better recent form signal.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

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