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🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Premier LeagueMatchday 36

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2:2

5/10 13:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(3 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Draw

Score: 2 - 2

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness62%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanmedium

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

✓ Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-05-10Burnley FC2 - 2Aston Villa FC

Odds Comparison

34d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Winamax (FR)	4.90	4.40	1.52
Unibet (FR)	4.90	4.00	1.53
MyBookie.ag	5.00	4.10	1.57
Everygame	5.00	4.20	1.53
William Hill	5.00	4.00	1.57
888sport	5.00	4.00	1.57
Betclic (FR)	5.10	4.15	1.57
Winamax (DE)	5.10	4.60	1.56
Codere (IT)	5.20	4.20	1.61
Tipico	5.30	4.40	1.55
Coolbet	5.35	4.27	1.62
GTbets	5.38	4.09	1.61
Pinnacle	5.38	4.48	1.59
Nordic Bet	5.40	4.35	1.60
Betsson	5.40	4.35	1.60
BetOnline.ag	5.40	4.48	1.59
Marathon Bet	5.50	4.45	1.60
1xBet	5.58	4.52	1.63
PMU (FR)	5.60	4.10	1.53
Betfair	5.70	4.50	1.64
LeoVegas (SE)	5.75	4.25	1.57
Unibet (SE)	5.80	4.30	1.61
Matchbook	5.90	4.50	1.64
Unibet (NL)	6.00	4.35	1.60

Market Implied Probability

Burnley FC

17.8%

Draw

22.2%

Aston Villa FC

60.0%

Burnley FC Recent Form

Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1-1

Lvs Arsenal FC0-1

Dvs Aston Villa FC2-2

Lvs Leeds United FC1-3

Lvs Manchester City FC0-1

Aston Villa FC Recent Form

Wvs Manchester City FC2-1

Wvs Liverpool FC4-2

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Away

Form

Away

Burnley FC

Home profile

Attack15

Defense45

Form33

Venue17

Draw tendency16

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average home goal outputConcedes more than league average in this venue splitRecent results trend is fragile

Aston Villa FC

Away profile

Attack47

Defense87

Form57

Venue32

Draw tendency39

Strengths

Above-average away defensive recordHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Below-average away goal outputLimited away venue reliabilitySmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 0-1

Home

32%

Draw

31%

Away

37%

Expected goals

0.95 - 1.04

Over 2.5 goals

32%

Both teams score

40%

Goal bands

41% / 45% / 14%

Scoreline candidates

0-1 14%0-0 14%1-1 14%1-0 13%0-2 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 14%Market 18%-4%

DrawAI 29%Market 22%+7%

AwayAI 57%Market 60%-3%

Intelligence Summary

Aston Villa FC has the stronger attacking profile.
Aston Villa FC has the cleaner defensive profile.
Aston Villa FC carries the better recent form signal.

Lvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1-2

AI Prediction Record

Burnley FC3/3 correct (100%)

05-24vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FCDraw1-1

05-18vs Arsenal FCHome Win0-1

05-01vs Leeds United FCHome Win1-3

Aston Villa FC0/3 correct (0%)

05-24vs Manchester City FCHome Win2-1

05-03vs Tottenham Hotspur FCHome Win1-2

04-25vs Fulham FC

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