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🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Premier LeagueMatchday 36

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1:1

5/10 13:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(2 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: UnknownActual: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness62%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanmedium

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

· Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

✓ Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-05-10Nottingham Forest FC1 - 1Newcastle United FC

Odds Comparison

35d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Unibet (FR)	2.40	3.40	2.50
Winamax (FR)	2.50	3.55	2.45
PMU (FR)	2.50	3.40	2.60
Betclic (FR)	2.50	3.53	2.48
MyBookie.ag	2.52	3.44	2.55
Winamax (DE)	2.55	3.65	2.50
Everygame	2.55	3.40	2.50
888sport	2.60	3.30	2.50
GTbets	2.60	3.45	2.65
Codere (IT)	2.60	3.55	2.60
Coolbet	2.60	3.55	2.68
William Hill	2.60	3.30	2.50
Tipico	2.60	3.60	2.50
LeoVegas (SE)	2.60	3.55	2.65
Pinnacle	2.64	3.67	2.61
Nordic Bet	2.65	3.60	2.58
Betsson	2.65	3.60	2.58
Unibet (SE)	2.65	3.60	2.70
Unibet (NL)	2.65	3.60	2.70
BetOnline.ag	2.66	3.55	2.65
Marathon Bet	2.67	3.58	2.65
Matchbook	2.68	3.70	2.72
Betfair	2.68	3.70	2.72
1xBet	2.71	3.63	2.69

Market Implied Probability

Nottingham Forest FC

36.5%

Draw

26.8%

Newcastle United FC

36.6%

Nottingham Forest FC Recent Form

Dvs AFC Bournemouth1-1

Lvs Manchester United FC2-3

Dvs Newcastle United FC1-1

Wvs Chelsea FC3-1

Wvs Sunderland AFC5-0

Newcastle United FC Recent Form

Lvs Fulham FC0-2

Wvs West Ham United FC3-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Even

Form

Home

Nottingham Forest FC

Home profile

Attack79

Defense62

Form71

Venue69

Draw tendency36

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileStrong recent form trendPositive home venue edge

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Newcastle United FC

Away profile

Attack39

Defense61

Form52

Venue17

Draw tendency14

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average away goal outputLimited away venue reliabilitySmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-0

Home

60%

Draw

22%

Away

18%

Expected goals

1.87 - 0.9

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Both teams score

50%

Goal bands

24% / 46% / 30%

Scoreline candidates

1-0 12%2-0 11%1-1 11%2-1 10%3-0 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 41%Market 37%+5%

DrawAI 30%Market 27%+3%

AwayAI 29%Market 37%-8%

Intelligence Summary

Nottingham Forest FC has the stronger attacking profile.
Nottingham Forest FC carries the better recent form signal.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

vs Nottingham Forest FC

Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC3-1

AI Prediction Record

Nottingham Forest FC2/4 correct (50%)

05-24vs AFC BournemouthDraw1-1

05-17vs Manchester United FCHome Win2-3

05-04vs Chelsea FCHome Win3-1

04-24vs Sunderland AFCHome Win5-0

Newcastle United FC2/4 correct (50%)

05-24vs Fulham FCDraw0-2

05-17vs West Ham United FCHome Win3-1

05-02vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCAway Win

04-25vs Arsenal FCHome Win0-1

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