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🇮🇹Serie AMatchday 37

Home

2:0

5/17 00:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(5 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 2 - 0

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanhigh

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

30d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Winamax (FR)	1.48	4.30	5.60
888sport	1.50	4.00	5.75
Winamax (DE)	1.50	4.40	5.70
Tipico	1.50	4.30	6.20
Everygame	1.50	4.20	5.75
Unibet (FR)	1.51	4.00	5.80
PMU (FR)	1.51	3.85	5.50
BetAnything	1.52	4.30	6.00
Betclic (FR)	1.52	4.20	6.10
William Hill	1.53	4.00	5.80
BetOnline.ag	1.53	4.42	6.50
LeoVegas (SE)	1.53	3.90	5.60
Marathon Bet	1.54	4.33	6.30
Pinnacle	1.54	4.40	6.26
Codere (IT)	1.54	4.20	6.20
Nordic Bet	1.55	4.25	5.90
Betfair	1.55	4.50	7.00
Betsson	1.55	4.25	5.90
Matchbook	1.55	4.50	7.00
Unibet (NL)	1.57	4.20	6.25
Unibet (SE)	1.57	4.20	6.25
1xBet	1.58	4.43	6.44
Coolbet	1.58	4.35	6.00
GTbets	1.62	4.01	5.74

Market Implied Probability

AS Roma

61.8%

Draw

22.5%

SS Lazio

15.7%

AS Roma Recent Form

Wvs Hellas Verona FC2-0

Wvs SS Lazio2-0

Wvs Parma Calcio 19133-2

Wvs ACF Fiorentina4-0

Wvs Bologna FC 19092-0

SS Lazio Recent Form

Wvs AC Pisa 19092-1

Lvs AS Roma0-2

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Home

Form

Home

AS Roma

Home profile

Attack100

Defense100

Form82

Venue76

Draw tendency29

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileAbove-average home defensive recordStrong recent form trend

Risks

Small sample size for this split

SS Lazio

Away profile

Attack65

Defense86

Form60

Venue66

Draw tendency14

Strengths

Above-average away defensive record

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-0

Home

52%

Draw

26%

Away

22%

Expected goals

1.48 - 0.86

Over 2.5 goals

41%

Both teams score

45%

Goal bands

32% / 47% / 21%

Scoreline candidates

1-0 14%1-1 12%2-0 11%0-0 10%2-1 9%

Market divergence

HomeAI 45%Market 62%-16%

DrawAI 32%Market 22%+10%

AwayAI 23%Market 16%+7%

Intelligence Summary

AS Roma has the stronger attacking profile.
AS Roma has the cleaner defensive profile.
AS Roma carries the better recent form signal.

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