What is the AI prediction for Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona?

Football Predictor rates FC Barcelona win as the current leading outcome, with probabilities of Deportivo Alavés 20%, draw 27%, FC Barcelona 53%.

What data is used for this La Liga prediction?

The model checks recent form, home/away splits, league averages, standings, head-to-head history, odds-market probabilities, availability news, and historical prediction calibration.

Why does the page show data completeness?

Data completeness explains prediction reliability. This match currently has a data score of 90/100 (high), with public tier Solid lean.

What does the Poisson model add to football prediction?

The Poisson model estimates scoreline distribution, win/draw/loss probabilities, over/under probability, and both-teams-to-score probability from expected goals.

Is the Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona prediction betting advice?

No. Football Predictor provides informational football analytics only and does not provide betting advice, financial advice, or guaranteed outcomes.

Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona

Name: Football Predictor football prediction dataset
Creator: Football Predictor
License: https://football.edccc.cn/en/about

Football Predictor

Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona | Football Predictor

AI Match Prediction Summary

Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona prediction: Football Predictor rates FC Barcelona win as the current leading outcome. The La Liga win/draw/loss probabilities are Deportivo Alavés 20%, draw 27%, FC Barcelona 53%, with model confidence at 6/10 and data completeness at 90/100 (high).

Win/draw/loss probabilities: Deportivo Alavés 20%, Draw 27%, FC Barcelona 53%

Model confidence: 6/10

Key factors

巴萨攻防评级与近期100%胜率形成绝对压制阿拉维斯深陷降级区战意极强但防守数据脆弱赛季末段巴萨潜在轮换/战意边际递减与市场定价修正泊松模型历史偏差校准与西甲平局基准对齐Data completeness: 90% (high)AI model: qwen3.6-plus (low data confidence, high intelligence risk)数据样本不足Solid lean

This prediction is informational football analytics only. It is not betting advice, financial advice, or a guarantee of the final match result.

Prediction data quality

This section explains which inputs are available for this match. Complete data makes a prediction more suitable for public accuracy tracking, while thin data reduces confidence and moves the match toward the watch list.

Score

90/100

Grade

high

Public pick tier

Solid lean

Recent formavailable

5/6 recent matches

Standingsavailable

Featured Match Signal

High-interest teamsModerate model confidenceModel: proVolatility: high

AI Prediction Analysis(5 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Wrong

Predicted: Away WinActual: Home Win

Score: 1 - 0

Deportivo Alavés Home WinDrawFC Barcelona Away Win

20%27%53%

Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanhigh

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Prediction History

5 rounds

Round 5Current

05/13, 06:34 PM (17h ago)

FC Barcelona Away Win

6/10

20%27%53%

Confidence +0

Lead prob -1%

Round 4

05/13, 02:34 PM (21h ago)

FC Barcelona Away Win

6/10

20%26%54%

Confidence +0

Lead prob -1%

Odds Comparison

8d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Winamax (FR)	3.30	3.75	1.84
Unibet (FR)	3.40	3.70	1.82
Winamax (DE)	3.40	3.90	1.88
Betfair	3.55	3.70	2.02
Nordic Bet	3.55	3.70	1.98
Betsson	3.55	3.70	1.98
Everygame	3.60	3.60	1.90
William Hill	3.60	3.75	1.91
Pinnacle	3.74	3.74	1.93
Marathon Bet	3.80	4.00	1.93
Tipico	3.80	3.70	1.90
BetOnline.ag	3.80	3.85	1.95
1xBet	3.86	4.06	1.96
PMU (FR)	3.90	4.10	1.73
LeoVegas (SE)	3.95	4.20	1.75
Unibet (NL)	4.10	4.30	1.81
Unibet (SE)	4.10	4.30	1.81

Market Implied Probability

Deportivo Alavés

25.6%

Draw

24.4%

FC Barcelona

50.1%

AI vs Market Deviation

Home Win -5.2%Draw +2.2%Away Win +3.0%

Model Value Signal

No Positive Signal

The model probability and market odds do not show a clear positive gap right now.

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Away

Form

Away

Deportivo Alavés

Home profile

Attack66

Defense38

Form48

Venue54

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue splitSmall sample size for this split

FC Barcelona

Away profile

Attack95

Defense100

Form98

Venue90

Draw tendency12

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileAbove-average away defensive recordStrong recent form trend

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-2

Home

23%

Draw

21%

Away

56%

Expected goals

1.28 - 2.1

Over 2.5 goals

65%

Both teams score

63%

Goal bands

15% / 42% / 43%

Scoreline candidates

1-2 10%1-1 9%0-2 8%0-1 7%1-3 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 20%Market 26%-5%

DrawAI 27%Market 24%+2%

AwayAI 53%Market 50%+3%

Intelligence Summary

FC Barcelona has the stronger attacking profile.
FC Barcelona has the cleaner defensive profile.
FC Barcelona carries the better recent form signal.

Deportivo Alavés Recent Form

Wvs FC Barcelona1-0

Dvs Elche CF1-1

Lvs Athletic Club2-4

FC Barcelona Recent Form

Lvs Deportivo Alavés0-1

Wvs Real Madrid CF2-0

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