
FC Barcelona
AwayDeportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona prediction: Football Predictor rates FC Barcelona win as the current leading outcome. The La Liga win/draw/loss probabilities are Deportivo Alavés 20%, draw 27%, FC Barcelona 53%, with model confidence at 6/10 and data completeness at 90/100 (high).
Key factors
This prediction is informational football analytics only. It is not betting advice, financial advice, or a guarantee of the final match result.
This section explains which inputs are available for this match. Complete data makes a prediction more suitable for public accuracy tracking, while thin data reduces confidence and moves the match toward the watch list.
Score
90/100
Grade
high
Public pick tier
Solid lean
5/6 recent matches
Score: 1 - 0
Data completeness90%
Model: selective-v3
Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.
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Continue with nearby fixtures and predictions from the same competition.
Levante
H
Osasuna
A
Home Win
2.63
Draw
3.17
Away Win
2.94
Elche
H
Alavés
A
Home Win
2.29
Draw
3.28
Away Win
3.41
Sevilla FC
H
Espanyol
A
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.40
Away Win
3.50
Atleti
H
Celta
A
Home Win
2.10
Draw
3.51
Away Win
3.65
both teams available
53 finished league matches
3 bookmaker lines
no external model signal
no direct history
no relevant availability news
The system starts with recent home/away form, league scoring averages, and a Poisson statistical baseline, then adjusts the win/draw/loss probabilities with standings, head-to-head context, market-implied odds, availability news, and historical calibration.
| Bookmaker | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.84 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.82 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.88 |
| Betfair | 3.55 | 3.70 | 2.02 |
| Nordic Bet | 3.55 | 3.70 | 1.98 |
| Betsson | 3.55 | 3.70 | 1.98 |
| Everygame | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.74 | 3.74 | 1.93 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.93 |
| Tipico | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.90 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80 | 3.85 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 3.86 | 4.06 | 1.96 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.73 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95 | 4.20 | 1.75 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10 | 4.30 | 1.81 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10 | 4.30 | 1.81 |
Market Implied Probability
Deportivo Alavés
25.6%
Draw
24.4%
FC Barcelona
50.1%
AI vs Market Deviation
Model Value Signal
No Positive SignalThe model probability and market odds do not show a clear positive gap right now.
Away
Away
Away
Deportivo Alavés
Home profile
Strengths
Risks
FC Barcelona
Away profile
Strengths
Risks
Statistical baseline
Poisson reference model
Home
23%
Draw
21%
Away
56%
1.28 - 2.1
65%
63%
15% / 42% / 43%
Scoreline candidates
Market divergence
Intelligence Summary
