Back to Matches

🇩🇪BundesligaMatchday 34

Home

5:1

5/16 13:30

Finished

Away

Featured Match Signal

High-interest teamsModel: proVolatility: medium

AI Prediction Analysis(3 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 5 - 1

Full prediction locked

Log in and buy this match prediction or activate a membership to view the final pick, probabilities, key factors and full reasoning.

login_required

Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanhigh

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-05-16FC Bayern München5 - 11. FC Köln

Odds Comparison

25d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Unibet (FR)	1.12	9.00	12.00
PMU (FR)	1.13	8.00	11.50
Winamax (FR)	1.13	8.50	11.00
Everygame	1.14	8.00	12.00
Betclic (FR)	1.14	9.50	13.00
Tipico	1.14	10.00	13.00
LeoVegas (SE)	1.14	8.00	12.00
Suprabets	1.14	7.80	12.00
Winamax (DE)	1.15	9.50	12.00
Pinnacle	1.15	8.70	13.28
888sport	1.15	8.00	13.00
William Hill	1.15	8.50	13.00
Codere (IT)	1.16	9.20	12.00
GTbets	1.16	8.98	13.20
Coolbet	1.16	9.50	16.00
Unibet (NL)	1.16	9.50	14.00
Nordic Bet	1.17	7.40	16.50
BetOnline.ag	1.17	8.50	15.00
Unibet (SE)	1.17	9.50	15.00
Marathon Bet	1.17	9.30	15.00
Betsson	1.17	7.40	16.50
1xBet	1.18	9.55	15.00
Matchbook	1.18	10.00	16.50
Betfair	1.18	10.00	16.50

Market Implied Probability

FC Bayern München

82.2%

Draw

10.8%

1. FC Köln

7.0%

FC Bayern München Recent Form

Wvs VfL Wolfsburg1-0

Dvs Paris Saint-Germain FC1-1

Dvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18463-3

Lvs Paris Saint-Germain FC4-5

1. FC Köln Recent Form

Lvs FC Bayern München1-5

Lvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461-3

Dvs 1. FC Union Berlin2-2

Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1-2

Dvs FC St. Pauli 19101-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Away

Form

Home

FC Bayern München

Home profile

Attack91

Defense52

Form83

Venue69

Draw tendency34

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileStrong recent form trendPositive home venue edge

Risks

Concedes more than league average in this venue split

1. FC Köln

Away profile

Attack55

Defense65

Form45

Venue47

Draw tendency57

Strengths

Higher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Recent results trend is fragileSmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 2-1

Home

47%

Draw

20%

Away

33%

Expected goals

2.27 - 1.88

Over 2.5 goals

78%

Both teams score

76%

Goal bands

8% / 33% / 59%

Scoreline candidates

2-1 8%2-2 7%1-1 7%1-2 6%3-1 6%

Market divergence

HomeAI 56%Market 82%-26%

DrawAI 26%Market 11%+15%

AwayAI 18%Market 7%+11%

Intelligence Summary

FC Bayern München has the stronger attacking profile.
1. FC Köln has the cleaner defensive profile.
FC Bayern München carries the better recent form signal.

AI Prediction Record

FC Bayern München2/5 correct (40%)

05-09vs VfL WolfsburgAway Win

05-06vs Paris Saint-Germain FCHome Win1-1

05-02vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846Home Win3-3

04-28vs Paris Saint-Germain FCAway Win4-5

04-25vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Away Win4-3

1. FC Köln1/3 correct (33%)

05-10vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846Home Win1-3

05-02vs 1. FC Union BerlinHome Win2-2

04-25vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenAway Win1-2

Related Match Predictions