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🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Premier LeagueMatchday 37

Home

1:0

5/17 14:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(2 rounds)

Confidence 5/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 1 - 0

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Avoid / data thinhigh

Pick policy: Avoid / data thin · Too little separation or too many missing inputs for a confident public pick.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

26d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
PMU (FR)	3.05	3.35	2.08
Winamax (FR)	3.05	3.60	2.05
GTbets	3.07	3.64	2.23
MyBookie.ag	3.08	3.50	2.13
Everygame	3.10	3.45	2.10
Winamax (DE)	3.10	3.65	2.10
Unibet (FR)	3.10	3.50	2.10
Betclic (FR)	3.13	3.60	2.12
BetOnline.ag	3.15	3.68	2.24
Codere (IT)	3.15	3.65	2.18
Coolbet	3.18	3.75	2.18
Nordic Bet	3.20	3.60	2.20
888sport	3.20	3.40	2.15
William Hill	3.20	3.40	2.15
LeoVegas (SE)	3.20	3.55	2.16
Betsson	3.20	3.60	2.20
Pinnacle	3.29	3.67	2.19
Tipico	3.30	3.60	2.10
Unibet (NL)	3.30	3.70	2.20
Unibet (SE)	3.30	3.70	2.20
Marathon Bet	3.32	3.60	2.21
Betfair	3.35	3.80	2.24
Matchbook	3.35	3.80	2.24
1xBet	3.37	3.65	2.25

Market Implied Probability

Leeds United FC

29.7%

Draw

26.4%

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

43.9%

Leeds United FC Recent Form

Lvs West Ham United FC0-3

Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC1-0

Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1-1

Wvs Burnley FC3-1

Dvs AFC Bournemouth2-2

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Recent Form

Lvs Manchester United FC0-3

Lvs Leeds United FC0-1

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Home

Defense

Home

Form

Even

Leeds United FC

Home profile

Attack88

Defense98

Form66

Venue90

Draw tendency13

Strengths

Reliable home scoring profileAbove-average home defensive recordPositive home venue edge

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Away profile

Attack81

Defense61

Form68

Venue51

Draw tendency28

Strengths

Reliable away scoring profileStrong recent form trend

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 2-1

Home

60%

Draw

21%

Away

20%

Expected goals

2.11 - 1.12

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams score

59%

Goal bands

17% / 43% / 40%

Scoreline candidates

2-1 10%1-1 9%2-0 9%1-0 8%3-1 7%

Market divergence

HomeAI 38%Market 30%+8%

DrawAI 32%Market 26%+6%

AwayAI 30%Market 44%-14%

Intelligence Summary

Leeds United FC has the stronger attacking profile.
Leeds United FC has the cleaner defensive profile.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

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