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🇪🇸La LigaMatchday 36

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2:0

5/14 19:30

Finished

Away

Featured Match Signal

High-interest teamsModel: proVolatility: medium

AI Prediction Analysis(5 rounds)

Confidence 6/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Home Win

Score: 2 - 0

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Solid leanhigh

Pick policy: Solid lean · Usable prediction, but one or more confirmation signals are still moderate.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Head to Head

2026-05-14Real Madrid CF2 - 0Real Oviedo

Odds Comparison

34d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Unibet (FR)	1.18	6.00	9.50
PMU (FR)	1.19	6.75	11.50
Winamax (FR)	1.19	6.25	8.50
Tipico	1.20	7.00	12.00
LeoVegas (SE)	1.21	6.75	11.50
Winamax (DE)	1.21	6.75	9.00
Pinnacle	1.21	6.93	11.00
William Hill	1.22	6.00	10.00
BetOnline.ag	1.23	7.05	13.00
Nordic Bet	1.23	6.40	12.50
Betsson	1.23	6.40	12.50
Unibet (SE)	1.24	7.00	12.00
Unibet (NL)	1.24	7.00	12.00
Marathon Bet	1.25	6.70	12.25
Betfair	1.25	6.80	12.00
1xBet	1.27	6.80	12.40

Market Implied Probability

Real Madrid CF

77.4%

Draw

14.2%

Real Oviedo

8.4%

Real Madrid CF Recent Form

Wvs Athletic Club

Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2-0

Real Oviedo Recent Form

Lvs RCD Mallorca0-3

Lvs Deportivo Alavés0-1

Lvs Real Madrid CF0-2

Dvs Getafe CF0-0

Lvs Real Betis Balompié0-3

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Even

Defense

Home

Form

Home

Real Madrid CF

Home profile

Attack65

Defense69

Form67

Venue69

Draw tendency36

Strengths

Positive home venue edgeHigher-than-average draw tendency

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Real Oviedo

Away profile

Attack63

Defense55

Form43

Venue54

Draw tendency13

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Recent results trend is fragileSmall sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

45%

Draw

25%

Away

30%

Expected goals

1.53 - 1.21

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Both teams score

55%

Goal bands

24% / 46% / 29%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 12%1-0 10%2-1 9%0-1 8%2-0 8%

Market divergence

HomeAI 64%Market 77%-14%

DrawAI 23%Market 14%+9%

AwayAI 13%Market 8%+5%

Intelligence Summary

Real Madrid CF has the cleaner defensive profile.
Real Madrid CF carries the better recent form signal.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

AI Prediction Record

Real Madrid CF3/4 correct (75%)

05-24vs Athletic ClubHome Win

05-10vs FC BarcelonaHome Win0-2

05-03vs RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaAway Win2-0

04-24vs Real Betis BalompiéAway Win1-1

Real Oviedo3/4 correct (75%)

05-24vs RCD MallorcaHome Win0-3

05-03vs Real Betis BalompiéHome Win0-3

04-26vs Elche CFAway Win1-2

04-23vs Villarreal CFAway Win1-1

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