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🇪🇸La LigaMatchday 36

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1:1

5/14 17:00

Finished

Away

AI Prediction Analysis(5 rounds)

Confidence 5/10

Correct

Predicted: UnknownActual: Draw

Score: 1 - 1

Full prediction locked

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Data completeness90%

Model: selective-v3

Avoid / data thinhigh

Pick policy: Avoid / data thin · Too little separation or too many missing inputs for a confident public pick.

✓ Recent form

✓ Standings

✓ League sample

✓ Market odds

· External reference

· Head to head

· Availability news

My Virtual Pick

Odds Comparison

34d ago

Bookmaker	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Unibet (FR)	2.05	3.30	3.00
Winamax (FR)	2.10	3.45	2.80
Marathon Bet	2.11	3.58	3.60
1xBet	2.14	3.63	3.65
Tipico	2.15	3.40	3.30
Winamax (DE)	2.15	3.55	2.90
William Hill	2.15	3.40	3.10
Pinnacle	2.17	3.60	3.22
Betsson	2.18	3.55	3.20
PMU (FR)	2.18	3.20	3.25
Nordic Bet	2.18	3.55	3.20
LeoVegas (SE)	2.20	3.25	3.30
Betfair	2.20	3.50	3.25
BetOnline.ag	2.22	3.59	3.27
Unibet (NL)	2.28	3.35	3.40
Unibet (SE)	2.28	3.35	3.40

Market Implied Probability

Valencia CF

43.5%

Draw

27.3%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

29.2%

Valencia CF Recent Form

Wvs FC Barcelona3-1

Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol4-3

Dvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1-1

Wvs Athletic Club1-0

Lvs Club Atlético de Madrid0-2

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Recent Form

Wvs Deportivo Alavés2-1

Wvs Villarreal CF2-0

Team Intelligence

High risk

Attack

Away

Defense

Away

Form

Even

Valencia CF

Home profile

Attack47

Defense50

Form58

Venue54

Draw tendency14

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Below-average home goal outputConcedes more than league average in this venue splitSmall sample size for this split

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Away profile

Attack59

Defense63

Form58

Venue54

Draw tendency14

Strengths

Balanced statistical profile

Risks

Small sample size for this split

Statistical baseline

Poisson reference model

Most likely score: 1-1

Home

40%

Draw

27%

Away

33%

Expected goals

1.37 - 1.21

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams score

52%

Goal bands

27% / 47% / 26%

Scoreline candidates

1-1 13%1-0 10%0-1 9%2-1 9%1-2 8%

Market divergence

HomeAI 33%Market 43%-10%

DrawAI 34%Market 27%+7%

AwayAI 32%Market 29%+3%

Intelligence Summary

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid has the stronger attacking profile.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid has the cleaner defensive profile.
Model and market odds currently show a positive value gap.

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